Bethea's Byte
5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean I6KIB
Welcome to Bethea's Byte. If you are a member, please sign in and participate. If you are not a member, please sign up and join the conversation. We'd love to hear from you.
Bethea's Byte
Would you like to react to this message? Create an account in a few clicks or log in to continue.
WELCOME TO BETHEA'S BYTE
Welcome guests and members to the home for News, Opinions, Debates and Your Voice... Bethea's Byte. fTKOo.png To all guests of this site, please feel free to look things over, but you are encouraged to register and take part in discussing all news reports posted here. fT9Mu.png You are also encouraged, as a member to post your own news stories. We would love to have discussions on your news reports as well. fTKOo.png You are further encouraged to debate these stories as well, especially in the political areas. fT9Mu.png All I ask is that no matter what side you're on, keep the debates civil. fTKOo.png If you are joining us from another forum, we ask you to affiliate with us. We are more than happy to check you out, join your site and participate with you as well. fT9Mu.png Once again, you are welcome here at Bethea's Byte. Join in the conversation. Spark a discussion. Have a passionate debate. Most importanly, Let your voice be heard! fTKOo.png BYTE THIS!
Log in

I forgot my password

Notifications
    Who is online?
    In total there is 1 user online :: 0 Registered, 0 Hidden and 1 Guest

    None

    [ View the whole list ]


    Most users ever online was 156 on Wed Jul 03, 2019 11:22 am
    Statistics
    We have 27 registered users
    The newest registered user is Qwerty

    Our users have posted a total of 3835 messages in 1603 subjects
    Top posting users this week
    Top posting users this month
    December 2020
    SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
      12345
    6789101112
    13141516171819
    20212223242526
    2728293031  

    Calendar Calendar

    Latest topics
    » What are your plans for the day.
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Yesterday at 9:18 pm by Naiwen

    » UK could override parts of Brexit deal
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Yesterday at 6:04 pm by Kyng

    » What was the last movie you saw?
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Wed Dec 02, 2020 11:53 am by Naiwen

    » Barr Says He Hasn’t Seen Fraud That Could Affect the Election Outcome
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Tue Dec 01, 2020 1:50 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Kim Jong-Un Is Reportedly Displaying 'Excessive Anger' Over the Economic Impact of the Coronavirus Pandemic, Ordering the Execution of Two People
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sun Nov 29, 2020 1:43 pm by Kyng

    » AstraZeneca Faces Difficult Questions About Its Vaccine After Admitting Mistake
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Thu Nov 26, 2020 5:31 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Trump Has Set a Hidden Trap For Biden. It Could Do Great Damage.
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Tue Nov 24, 2020 11:10 am by The Last Outlaw

    » A Trump 2024 Run Is a Terrible Idea—For Him And For The GOP
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Nov 23, 2020 12:53 pm by Kyng

    » Armenians Return to Nagorno-Karabakh After Cease-Fire
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Nov 23, 2020 12:46 pm by Kyng

    » Georgia and Michigan Deliver Blows to Trump’s Efforts to Undo the Election
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sat Nov 21, 2020 5:14 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » US Announces Further Drawdown of Troops in Afghanistan and Iraq Before Biden Takes Office
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Tue Nov 17, 2020 2:53 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Why Moderna's COVID Vaccine Has a 'Huge Advantage' Over Pfizer's
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Tue Nov 17, 2020 12:19 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » U.S. Passes 11 Million Coronavirus Cases as Washington State Orders New Restrictions
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sun Nov 15, 2020 4:27 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Trump Loses String of Election Results Lawsuits
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sun Nov 15, 2020 8:43 am by The Last Outlaw

    » Alex Trebek, Quintessential Quizmaster as ‘Jeopardy!’ Host For Three Decades, Dies at 80
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Thu Nov 12, 2020 3:56 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » MTV and Nick Cannon Inch Closer to ‘Wild ‘N Out’ Revival
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Thu Nov 12, 2020 12:13 am by The Last Outlaw

    » Trump May Accept Results But Never Concede, Aides Say
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Wed Nov 11, 2020 5:16 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Progressives’ Wish List for Biden Starts With Warren and Sanders
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Wed Nov 11, 2020 10:03 am by The Last Outlaw

    » Fauci Optimistic About COVID-19 Vaccine, Says High-Risk Could Get it in December
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Tue Nov 10, 2020 3:33 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Joe Biden Is Right: It Is Time To Move On
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Tue Nov 10, 2020 11:29 am by The Last Outlaw

    » World Leaders Welcome Biden Win, Seek Reset in U.S. Ties
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sat Nov 07, 2020 2:49 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » George Stephanopoulos Says He Has Only Slept for 14 Hours Since Election Day
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sat Nov 07, 2020 11:37 am by The Last Outlaw

    » Biden Wins White House, Vowing New Direction For Divided US
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sat Nov 07, 2020 9:13 am by The Last Outlaw

    » Polls Show Biden gaining ground in Texas, Georgia
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sat Nov 07, 2020 6:52 am by Kyng

    » America's New Power Couple: Joe and Mitch
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Thu Nov 05, 2020 11:41 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Trump Hits Election Integrity With Unsupported Complaints
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Thu Nov 05, 2020 9:26 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Judge Rejects Moving Trial of Ex-Officers in Floyd’s Death
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Thu Nov 05, 2020 11:09 am by The Last Outlaw

    » Bernie Sanders’s Election-Night Predictions Were Eerily Correct: ‘He Called It WORD For WORD’
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Thu Nov 05, 2020 9:51 am by The Last Outlaw

    » NO WINNER YET. Key Battleground States Have Votes Yet To Be Counted.
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Wed Nov 04, 2020 1:05 pm by Kyng

    » Jeannie Mai Hospitalized, Forced to Leave 'Dancing With the Stars'
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Nov 02, 2020 4:44 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » John Oliver Reminds Voters of All Trump's 'Massive F--- Ups' In Handling The Coronavirus
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Nov 02, 2020 9:12 am by The Last Outlaw

    » Seven Big Things Biden Got Right
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Nov 02, 2020 7:03 am by The Last Outlaw

    » How Are Americans Catching the Virus? Increasingly, ‘They Have No Idea’
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sat Oct 31, 2020 7:38 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » What happens to Fox News if Trump loses? Rupert Murdoch is prepared.
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sat Oct 31, 2020 4:47 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Trump Drags Down GOP Senators, Giving Democrats More Paths to the Majority
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sat Oct 31, 2020 12:19 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » The Verdict Is In: Joe Biden Won The Final Presidential Debate
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Tue Oct 27, 2020 5:51 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Gwen Stefani and Blake Shelton are engaged!
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Tue Oct 27, 2020 4:57 pm by Kyng

    » Boyfriend Said N.C. Mom Died After Slipping in Bathtub — But 3 Months Later, He's Charged with Murder
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Tue Oct 27, 2020 12:22 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Lesley Stahl Gets Security Protection After Death Threat Over Trump ‘60 Minutes’ Interview
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Tue Oct 27, 2020 11:49 am by The Last Outlaw

    » Fauci Says The U.S.'s Record-High COVID-19 Cases Put It In a Precarious Position
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Oct 26, 2020 8:30 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Donald Trump Questions Barack Obama Being 'Handsome' and a 'Good Speaker' at PA Rally
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Oct 26, 2020 5:40 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Trump vs. The Ten Commandments
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sat Oct 24, 2020 11:53 am by The Last Outlaw

    » Trump Cuts a ‘60 Minutes’ Interview Short, And Then Taunts Lesley Stahl on Twitter.
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Tue Oct 20, 2020 9:30 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Donald Trump Just Lost His Go-To Debate Move
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Tue Oct 20, 2020 8:32 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » How Next-Door Neighbors With Opposing Political Views Stayed Friends
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Tue Oct 20, 2020 11:19 am by Kyng

    » Biden Campaign Removing Retired General From Ad After He Objects
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Oct 19, 2020 8:38 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Democrats Hatch Plans to Counter Trump's Attempts to Cast Doubt On Election Results
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Oct 19, 2020 11:44 am by The Last Outlaw

    » Trump Was Unsure of Victory Until Recently, He Tells Staff
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Oct 19, 2020 10:48 am by The Last Outlaw

    » Scott Peterson’s Murder Convictions to Be Re-Examined, Court Orders
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Fri Oct 16, 2020 6:03 pm by Kyng

    » Guthrie Asks Trump Why He'd Tweet "a Lie" About Biden
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Thu Oct 15, 2020 10:52 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » 'I Have Failed' - Kim Jong Un Shows Tearful Side in Confronting North Korea's Hardships
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Oct 12, 2020 4:53 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Joe Biden Given 8.5-Point Lead From Pollsters That Predicted Donald Trump's 2016 Win
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Oct 12, 2020 11:52 am by The Last Outlaw

    » ‘Hatred is Taught’: Pennsylvania’s Second Lady Films a Woman’s Racist Attack at the Grocery Store
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Oct 12, 2020 11:32 am by The Last Outlaw

    » New Poll Shows Biden Beating Trump By Double-Digit Margin
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sun Oct 11, 2020 7:58 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Daughter Dies Inside Hot Car After Cheap Dad Refused to Smash Window, Cops Say
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sat Oct 10, 2020 2:21 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Trump Delivers Dark and Divisive Speech in First Major Appearance Since COVID Diagnosis
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sat Oct 10, 2020 2:15 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Lindsey Graham in Debate Forum: Black People Can Go Anywhere in South Carolina If They're 'Not Liberal'
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sat Oct 10, 2020 1:32 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Trump, Lagging in Polls, Pressures Justice Dept. To Target Democrats and Criticizes Barr
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sat Oct 10, 2020 1:10 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Trailing in the Polls and Time Running Out, Trump Looks for One More Comeback
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sat Oct 10, 2020 11:49 am by The Last Outlaw

    » Donald Trump is Losing By 16 in a New CNN Poll. And That's Not The Worst News.
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Tue Oct 06, 2020 9:08 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Fauci Warned That Trump's Coronavirus Recovery Could Soon Go Into 'Reversal'
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Tue Oct 06, 2020 1:22 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Alec Baldwin Defends Playing Donald Trump in 'Saturday Night Live' Season Premiere After Backlash
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Tue Oct 06, 2020 7:50 am by The Last Outlaw

    » Man Killed By Police Was Intervening In Dispute, Family Says
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Oct 05, 2020 7:49 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » ‘Don’t Be Afraid of COVID,’ Trump Says, Undermining Public Health Messages
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Oct 05, 2020 7:24 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Six Reasons Not to Panic About the Election
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Oct 05, 2020 6:11 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » The Most Memorable Songs From '80s Movies
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Oct 05, 2020 2:30 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Trump Says He's Leaving Walter Reed Monday Evening
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Oct 05, 2020 12:21 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » White House Press Secretary Kayleigh McEnany Says She's Tested Positive For Coronavirus
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Oct 05, 2020 11:09 am by The Last Outlaw

    » Battleground Tracker: Trump and Biden Even in Ohio, As Biden Leads in PA
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Oct 05, 2020 9:55 am by The Last Outlaw

    » Biden Surges to 14-Point Lead Over Trump After Caustic First Debate, Poll Finds
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sun Oct 04, 2020 1:19 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » UK's Johnson Raises Concerns With Turkey's Erdogan Over East Med Tensions
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sat Oct 03, 2020 1:48 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Debate-Watchers Say Biden Won First Debate - CBS News poll
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Wed Sep 30, 2020 6:44 am by The Last Outlaw

    » The 10 Biggest Whoppers You Can Expect To Hear At The First Debate
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:56 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Donald Trump and Joe Biden Prepare For a Debate That Could Turn Personal
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Tue Sep 29, 2020 1:09 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Trump Tries New Line of Defense Amid Tax Scandal
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Sep 28, 2020 2:03 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Shirley Bannister, Mother of South Carolina Teacher Who Died of COVID-19, Dies From It Weeks Later
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Sep 28, 2020 8:31 am by Kyng

    » 2020 Primetime Emmy Awards
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sun Sep 20, 2020 9:26 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Remembering Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sun Sep 20, 2020 7:41 am by The Last Outlaw

    » An Edition of Free Byte Dedicated to the Losers and Suckers of the United States of America... Myself Included.
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sun Sep 06, 2020 5:49 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Brandy vs. Monica: Battle of the R&B Titans -- A Record Breaker (Two Articles)
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Wed Sep 02, 2020 10:55 am by The Last Outlaw

    » Family, Police Offer Starkly Different Views of Jacob Blake in Wake of Shooting
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Tue Sep 01, 2020 11:15 am by The Last Outlaw

    » Trump Visit Divides Kenosha Officials As City Braces for Fresh Unrest
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Tue Sep 01, 2020 10:22 am by The Last Outlaw

    » Trump's 'Plane Loaded With Thugs' Rumor Matches Months-Old Conspiracy Theory
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Tue Sep 01, 2020 9:34 am by The Last Outlaw

    » Trump Defends Kenosha Suspect As Acting in Self-Defense
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Aug 31, 2020 11:45 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Biden Confronts Trump on Safety, Saying the President ‘Can’t Stop the Violence’
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Aug 31, 2020 11:33 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Trump Accuses Biden of Blaming Police For Violence Instead of 'Anarchists, Agitators, and Looters'
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Aug 31, 2020 2:54 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » Second Stimulus Check Update: Everything We Know About Payments, Timing and Negotiations
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Aug 31, 2020 12:46 pm by The Last Outlaw

    » New Trump Pandemic Adviser Pushes Controversial ‘Herd Immunity’ Strategy, Worrying Public Health Officials
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Aug 31, 2020 10:52 am by The Last Outlaw

    » Portland Protests: Oregon Governor Releases Plan to Curb Violence After Shooting Death
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Mon Aug 31, 2020 10:18 am by The Last Outlaw

    » Derek Chauvin: Former Officer in George Floyd Killing Asks Judge to Dismiss Charges
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Clock-10Sat Aug 29, 2020 12:28 pm by The Last Outlaw

    CBOX
    Affiliate With Bethea’s Byte


    Bethea's Byte

    Anti-Spam Bots!

    Submit Your Site To The Web's Top 50 Search Engines for Free!






    The Coffee House


    Planet Nexus


    mindsConnected


    IconSkouliki


    Atrium


    Atrium

    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean

    View previous topic View next topic Go down

    The Last Outlaw
    The Last Outlaw
    Head Administrator
    Head Administrator
    Male Posts : 1599
    Age : 44
    Join date : 2018-05-25
    Location : Salem, Oregon, USA
    Status :
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean 1229
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean 2101

    http://betheasbyte.forumotion.com/forum

    PostThe Last Outlaw on Mon Nov 05, 2018 5:13 pm

    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean GTSA

    From The Washington Post

    Aaron Blake of the Washington Post wrote:It’s midterm election eve, and we’re in a somewhat similar situation to where we were in 2016. According to projections, Democrats are a strong favorite to win the night’s big prize: this time, the House. As 2016 showed us, though, taking strong odds and reading them as guarantees can make you look awfully dumb.

    So as we all prepare to watch the returns Tuesday, here are a few conceivable ways it could go.

    1. Democrats win the House, while the GOP holds the Senate and even gains a seat or two

    How it would happen: This appears the most likely scenario, if you’re to believe the polls.

    Republicans have a 51-49 majority in the Senate, which means Democrats need a net gain of two seats to take the chamber. That’s unlikely, by all accounts, because the map is so friendly for the GOP. Despite a favorable environment for Democrats, Republicans have hung tough when it comes to possibly nicking a Senate seat or two (or three) in the many red states Democrats have to defend — possibly offsetting GOP losses in Arizona and Nevada and maybe even leading to a net gain for Republicans.

    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean $

    In the House, Democrats need a net gain of 23 seats. They are favored to win 18 GOP seats, according to the Cook Political Report, and Republicans are favored to win two Democratic seats. That means Democrats would only need to win seven of the 30 seats that Cook rates as “toss-ups.” This would seem likely even in a neutral environment, and history shows that these “toss-up” races tend to go strongly in the direction of the party with the electoral momentum.

    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean $

    What it would mean: If Democrats' House gain is somewhere in the neighborhood of 30 seats, that would be on par with what often happens in midterm elections when the other party has the presidency. But it would be remarkable when you consider this: The GOP’s redistricting advantage after the 2010 election was so huge that we wondered whether it was even possible that Democrats could win back the House. The median House district went for Trump by more than three points, even though he lost the popular vote by two points. If the map were anywhere close to neutral, and the environment were as it is, Democrats would be virtually guaranteed a House takeover right now. The fact that they are likely to win back a chamber that seemed so out of reach for the entire decade is big, in and of itself.

    Republicans — and President Trump — would counter this by pointing out that they held the Senate or even gained seats (which is rare). But there, the map was even tougher, with Democrats defending 10 Trump states and Republicans defending only one won by Hillary Clinton. And a status-quo election would actually set up Democrats very well to take over the chamber when they have much better opportunities in 2020 and 2022.

    2. A blue wave consumes the House, and the Senate is tight

    How it would happen: Let’s assume we’re underselling the size of the blue wave. Let’s assume the double-digit leads that Democrats used to have on the generic ballot (until recently) prevail on Election Day, and Americans vote Democratic by 10 or more points nationwide.

    In that scenario, we’d be talking about the vast majority of those 30 toss-ups going to the Democrats, along with potentially some upsets in districts Republicans are expected to hold. The gains would be north of 40 or 45 seats and give Democrats a substantial House majority — comparable to the GOP’s current 42-seat majority.

    That environment still might not be good enough to deliver the Senate, though. Republicans would probably lose Arizona and Nevada, the two swing seats they are defending, but they are clear favorites to unseat Sen. Heidi Heitkamp (D) in North Dakota. That means the wave would have to deliver Democrats one more seat — a tough pickup in either Tennessee or Texas — and then help them hold everything else: Florida, Indiana, Missouri, Montana and West Virginia. All of those states are polling competitively, but it’s not inconceivable that they’d hold all four (Republicans hold a tiny lead in the polling average in only one of the four — Missouri).

    The biggest question in this scenario is whether Democrats would actually be able to get Beto O’Rourke across the finish line in Texas (where Democrats haven’t won statewide in any race in a quarter-century) or pull an upset for the Tennessee open seat between Rep. Marsha Blackburn (R) and former governor Phil Bredesen (D), where the polling average has Blackburn up by five.

    3. Democrats somehow win both chambers, with the blue wave also consuming the Senate

    How it would happen: This would be the really big wave — and it’s not inconceivable. Projections gave Trump around a 1-in-6 shot at winning the presidency in 2016, and those are the odds FiveThirtyEight gives Democrats to win the Senate.

    The likeliest outcome would seem to be Tennessee goes Democratic, and Texas possibly following it, giving Democrats a 51-49 or 52-48 majority in the Senate. The best possible outcome would include Democrats also holding North Dakota — and batting 1.000 on defense — and getting as much as a 53-47 Senate majority.

    What it would mean: Trump and the GOP losing both the House and the Senate would be a seismic shift, given the inherent advantage Republicans have on both maps. Immediately, talk would turn to how the 2016 election was perhaps a fluke and to how Trump’s divisiveness had backfired. And it wouldn’t be wrong.

    4. Republicans save the House and gain ground in the Senate

    How it would happen: Speaking of small but substantial possibilities, that’s what Republicans have when it comes to holding the House. FiveThirtyEight has them at a 1-in-8 shot.

    This would require the House GOP holding the vast majority of those toss-up races, possibly because of rising enthusiasm from Trump’s fear-infused, immigration-focused base strategy. And if those toss-up races tilted Republican in the House, you’d think they’d also tilt Republican in the Senate, where the terrain is even redder. It could result in states such as Nevada or even Arizona staying under GOP control and deliver states like Florida, Indiana, Missouri and Montana. Even if Republicans can just win red states, that could be a four- or five-seat gain.

    The result would be the GOP maintaining control of all the levers of power in Washington and having more room for error in the Senate, with a 53-47, 54-46 or even 55-45 majority.

    What it would mean: Pundit chaos. It would suggest — again — that polls might be underselling Trump’s actual base of support and that we continue to fundamentally misunderstand what he’s doing to our political coalitions. It wouldn’t necessarily be a resounding affirmation of Trump — these are only red states the GOP would be winning — but it would lead to some real, justified soul-searching.

    5. A wild card

    How it would happen: The idea that we might continue to fundamentally misunderstand the country’s political zeitgeist — combined with the 2016 election — mean there could be something completely unexpected. Maybe the GOP narrowly holds the House, but Democrats keep the Senate close. Maybe Democrats win the House, but Republicans pick up a few Senate seats. Maybe Democrats pull a shocker in Tennessee and/or Texas but lose supposedly easier states.

    There are simply so many toss-ups — 30 in the House and nine in the Senate — that weird things can happen. It’s really difficult to rule anything out, given we’re in uncharted territory here, and that all of our previous assumptions about how these things work have been called into question. The safest bet is not to assume everything happens as neatly as you expect they will.

    What it would mean: The same as above — chaos — except less specifically partisan. The arguments about exactly what the election meant would be all over the place, and it would be tough to say anything with certainty, because we’d be entering a bona fide new political reality.

    Well there you have it.  All the scenarios.  All the possibilities.  There's only one thing left to do.  GET OUT AND VOTE!  This is important.  This election is as important for America and the future as any other we've had previously.  If you haven't done the early voting, if you haven't mailed in your ballots, and you plan to do like me, get off your butts, go to the polls and cast your vote!

    Just saying!
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean R9Zf

    _________________
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean FBCTR5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean D5SsG
    5 Possible Scenarios For Election Day, And What They’d Mean Nexads420

    View previous topic View next topic Back to top

    Create an account or log in to leave a reply

    You need to be a member in order to leave a reply.

    Create an account

    Join our community by creating a new account. It's easy!


    Create a new account

    Log in

    Already have an account? No problem, log in here.


    Log in

     
    Permissions in this forum:
    You cannot reply to topics in this forum